Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 13.227129 14.798622 16.499336 18.479395 20.724781 23.195900 26.126814
2025-06-01 10.901919 12.999694 15.434036 18.478357 22.198478 26.615208 32.283989
2025-06-08 9.202859 11.605685 14.571461 18.525861 23.697140 30.280208 39.375319
2025-06-15 8.119890 10.780125 14.256107 19.176897 26.038132 35.375494 49.232280
2025-06-22 6.992829 9.719388 13.468763 19.072863 27.359958 39.357859 58.400651
2025-06-29 5.996586 8.685261 12.557100 18.638215 28.131130 42.690148 67.309606
2025-07-06 5.247167 7.893535 11.870527 18.412411 29.159057 46.569760 77.863569
2025-07-13 4.816892 7.516777 11.745772 19.024526 31.599925 53.119115 94.254930
2025-07-20 4.448925 7.183687 11.636543 19.635231 34.133609 60.282286 113.351580
2025-07-27 4.073160 6.785164 11.360625 19.910566 36.116397 66.824582 132.795959
2025-08-03 3.668618 6.284353 10.840650 19.664843 37.086782 71.634755 149.887815
2025-08-10 3.309979 5.818520 10.319716 19.333737 37.827271 76.116988 167.356134
2025-08-17 2.996350 5.403954 9.853465 19.067420 38.717202 81.222877 187.913444
2025-08-24 2.737488 5.060383 9.477459 18.926738 39.855934 87.126847 212.079628
2025-08-31 2.519729 4.769514 9.166695 18.874876 41.186824 93.766304 240.078037
2025-09-07 2.390935 4.637752 9.155820 19.464177 44.091489 104.790265 283.215688
2025-09-14 2.205241 4.369278 8.829952 19.304442 45.197708 111.609247 316.661391
2025-09-21 2.013102 4.065936 8.393558 18.825984 45.436101 116.244055 345.119672
2025-09-28 1.860359 3.829043 8.072220 18.570589 46.197671 122.473261 380.709957
2025-10-05 1.786070 3.753592 8.099580 19.168221 49.331738 136.145523 445.965696
2025-10-12 1.717008 3.681820 8.126144 19.768827 52.601187 151.052148 521.341523
2025-10-19 1.631445 3.563233 8.028936 20.035067 54.981898 163.856286 594.084869
2025-10-26 1.522088 3.378154 7.751261 19.779684 55.785328 171.837168 651.207457